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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Milan logo
Hellas Verona
1 - 2
AC Milan
Gunter (19')
Magnani (67'), Hongla (68'), Faraoni (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Veloso (9' og.), Tonali (81')
Hernandez (81'), Rebic (90')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 0-2 Chelsea
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Hellas Verona 0-2 AC Milan

The last Serie A draw between Verona and Milan at the Bentegodi was in December 2000, and that run is set to remain unbroken as the champions claim victory again. Despite their absences, the Rossoneri have too much pace and guile for their hosts to handle and should score at least twice. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 16.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 0-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan
16.34% (0.883 0.88) 19.59% (0.265 0.27) 64.07% (-1.148 -1.15)
Both teams to score 56.14% (1.168 1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.56% (0.52200000000001 0.52)38.44% (-0.521 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.27% (0.55200000000001 0.55)60.73% (-0.551 -0.55)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.33% (1.424 1.42)36.67% (-1.425 -1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.54% (1.401 1.4)73.46% (-1.401 -1.4)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.65% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)11.36% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.94% (-0.329 -0.33)36.06% (0.33000000000001 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 16.34%
    AC Milan 64.07%
    Draw 19.59%
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 4.56% (0.207 0.21)
1-0 @ 4.18% (0.058 0.06)
2-0 @ 2.1% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 1.52% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 16.34%
1-1 @ 9.09% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.196 0.2)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.59%
1-2 @ 9.89% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.85% (-0.366 -0.37)
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.284 -0.28)
1-3 @ 7.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 7.15% (-0.315 -0.32)
1-4 @ 3.9% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.89% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-3 @ 3.6% (0.122 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.96% (0.055 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.7% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.69% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 64.07%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs AC Milan

Hellas Verona
10.8%
Draw
7.8%
AC Milan
81.4%
102
Head to Head
May 8, 2022 7.45pm
Hellas Verona
1-3
AC Milan
Faraoni (38')
Faraoni (45+1'), Ilic (70')
Tonali (45+3', 50'), Florenzi (86')
Leao (45+1')
Oct 16, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
3-2
Hellas Verona
Giroud (59'), Kessie (76' pen.), Gunter (78' og.)
Ballo-Toure (81')
Caprari (7'), Barak (24' pen.)
Ceccherini (5'), Kalinic (25'), Casale (38'), Veloso (54')
Mar 7, 2021 2pm
Nov 8, 2020 7.45pm
AC Milan
2-2
Hellas Verona
Magnani (27' og.), Ibrahimovic (90+3')
Bennacer (54')
Barak (6'), Calabria (19' og.)
Ceccherini (33'), Lovato (42'), Tameze (90+1')
Feb 2, 2020 2pm
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli37276475284787
2Lazio37218858302871
3Inter Milan372231270422869
4AC Milan371910861421967
5Atalanta BCAtalanta371871261461561
6Roma371791148371160
7Juventus372161055332259
8Torino371411124240253
9Fiorentina371411125042853
10Monza371410134647-152
11Bologna371312125047351
12Udinese371113134747046
13SassuoloSassuolo37129164658-1245
14Empoli371013143747-1043
15Salernitana37915134860-1242
16Lecce37812173143-1236
17SpeziaSpezia37613183060-3031
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37710203056-2631
19Cremonese37412213469-3524
RSampdoria37310242469-4519

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