Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 20.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.