Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.