Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Marseille win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Marseille |
58.21% ( -0.29) | 22.86% ( 0.07) | 18.93% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 50.39% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.4% ( 0.05) | 48.61% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.28% ( 0.05) | 70.72% ( -0.05) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.6% ( -0.08) | 16.4% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.95% ( -0.15) | 46.05% ( 0.15) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.28% ( 0.29) | 39.72% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.61% ( 0.26) | 76.4% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 58.19% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.86% | 0-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.18% Total : 18.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |