Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 16.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Marseille win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.