Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest PAOK win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.