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Almeria
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Elche
Espanyol logo
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Mallorca logo
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Rayo Vallecano logo
La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 12, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estadio Teresa Rivero
Villarreal logo
Rayo Vallecano
1 - 5
Villarreal
Guardiola (21')
Maras (30'), Garcia (45+2'), Comesana (45+2'), Lopez (76'), Sylla (77')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Pedraza (3', 88'), Foyth (27'), Alcacer (38'), Torres (45+1')
Emery (61'), Rulli (61'), Albiol (82')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

We said: Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Villarreal

Villarreal need the points more than Rayo, but the home side's recent form must be respected, therefore this is a difficult match to call. It would not be a surprise to see a home or away victory on Thursday, but we believe that the two teams could ultimately cancel each other out in an entertaining draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawVillarreal
33.85% (0.064999999999998 0.06) 27.39% (0.034000000000002 0.03) 38.76% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Both teams to score 49.47% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.92% (-0.113 -0.11)56.08% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.85% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)77.16% (0.094000000000008 0.09)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)31.16% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)67.49% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (-0.107 -0.11)28.14% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18% (-0.139 -0.14)63.82% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 33.85%
    Villarreal 38.75%
    Draw 27.38%
Rayo VallecanoDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 10.22% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.56% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 5.96% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 33.85%
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.77% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 38.75%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal

Rayo Vallecano
21.2%
Draw
23.5%
Villarreal
55.3%
132
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2021 1pm
Villarreal
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
Mandi (32'), Moreno (36' pen.)
Torres (23')

Catena (37'), Isi (38'), Garcia (61')
Jan 29, 2020 6pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-2
Villarreal

Milic (28')
Nino (84'), Cazorla (85')
Funes Mori (25'), Cazorla (80')
Mar 17, 2019 5.30pm
Nov 11, 2018 5.30pm
Apr 17, 2016 5.15pm
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Villarreal
Guerra (7'), Miku (81')
Guerra (56'), Amaya (67')
Adrian (20')
Ruiz (57'), Marin (59'), Gaspar (71'), Leiva (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona37284569185188
2Real Madrid37245874353977
3Atletico MadridAtletico37237768313776
4Real Sociedad37208949341568
5Villarreal371961257381963
6Real BetisBetis37178124540559
7Osasuna37148153541-650
8Athletic Bilbao37148154642450
9GironaGirona371310145753449
10Rayo Vallecano371310144550-549
11Sevilla371310144652-649
12Mallorca37138163443-947
13Valencia37118184144-341
14CadizCadiz371011162952-2341
15Getafe371011163445-1141
16Almeria37117194662-1640
17Celta Vigo371010174152-1140
18Real ValladolidValladolid37116203363-3039
19Espanyol37812174966-1736
RElcheElche3759232966-3724

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