Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
47.62% | 25.71% | 26.67% |
Both teams to score 51.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.69% | 52.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.99% | 74% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.03% | 21.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.73% | 55.26% |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.55% | 34.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.84% | 71.15% |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 11.46% 2-1 @ 9.26% 2-0 @ 8.69% 3-1 @ 4.68% 3-0 @ 4.39% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.26% Total : 47.61% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.07% 1-2 @ 6.51% 0-2 @ 4.3% 1-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.19% Total : 26.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
19 | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |