Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
45.51% | 26.69% | 27.8% |
Both teams to score 49.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.55% | 55.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.36% | 76.64% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.7% | 24.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.33% | 58.67% |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.79% | 35.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.03% | 71.96% |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 12.1% 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 8.56% 3-1 @ 4.22% 3-0 @ 4.04% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.53% Total : 45.5% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.66% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.08% Total : 27.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 27 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 9 | 44 | 71 |
2 | Real Madrid | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 57 | 21 | 36 | 59 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 54 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 48 |
5 | Real BetisBetis | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 45 |
6 | Villarreal | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 44 |
7 | Athletic Bilbao | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 37 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
9 | Osasuna | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 35 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 35 |
11 | GironaGirona | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 34 |
12 | Mallorca | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 33 |
13 | Sevilla | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 31 |
14 | Getafe | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 30 |
15 | CadizCadiz | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 28 |
16 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 28 |
17 | Almeria | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 27 |
18 | Espanyol | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 27 |
19 | Valencia | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 26 |
20 | ElcheElche | 27 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 55 | -36 | 13 |
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