Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Villarreal |
35.2% | 26.68% | 38.11% |
Both teams to score 51.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.87% | 53.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.29% | 74.71% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.17% | 28.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.31% | 64.69% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.89% | 27.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.5% | 62.49% |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 7.89% 2-0 @ 6.05% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.2% | 1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 7.82% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 8.28% 0-2 @ 6.66% 1-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.11% Total : 38.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 60 | 11 | 49 | 82 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 69 |
3 | Real Madrid | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 69 | 32 | 37 | 68 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 61 |
5 | Villarreal | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 54 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 49 |
7 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 47 |
8 | GironaGirona | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 44 |
9 | Osasuna | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 44 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 43 |
11 | Sevilla | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 41 |
12 | Mallorca | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 41 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 39 |
14 | Almeria | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 36 |
15 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 26 | 49 | -23 | 35 |
16 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 35 |
17 | Valencia | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 34 |
18 | Getafe | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 30 | 42 | -12 | 34 |
19 | Espanyol | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 31 |
R | ElcheElche | 33 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 25 | 64 | -39 | 16 |
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