Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Villarreal |
23.02% | 24.74% | 52.24% |
Both teams to score 50.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.61% | 51.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.79% | 73.21% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.87% | 37.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.09% | 73.91% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.35% | 19.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.38% | 51.62% |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 7.23% 2-1 @ 5.83% 2-0 @ 3.58% 3-1 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.57% 3-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.71% Total : 23.02% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 7.3% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 11.86% 0-2 @ 9.66% 1-2 @ 9.57% 0-3 @ 5.24% 1-3 @ 5.19% 2-3 @ 2.57% 0-4 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 2.11% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.86% Total : 52.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 60 | 11 | 49 | 82 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 69 |
3 | Real Madrid | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 69 | 32 | 37 | 68 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 61 |
5 | Villarreal | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 54 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 49 |
7 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 47 |
8 | GironaGirona | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 44 |
9 | Osasuna | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 44 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 43 |
11 | Sevilla | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 41 |
12 | Mallorca | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 41 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 39 |
14 | Almeria | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 36 |
15 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 26 | 49 | -23 | 35 |
16 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 35 |
17 | Valencia | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 34 |
18 | Getafe | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 30 | 42 | -12 | 34 |
19 | Espanyol | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 31 |
R | ElcheElche | 33 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 25 | 64 | -39 | 16 |
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