Serie A | Gameweek 28
Apr 3, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Empoli
1 - 0
Lecce
More game data and we say below the videos
We said: Empoli 1-0 Lecce
Neither side is in top goalscoring form, but Empoli's decent-to-good record at the Castellani — they had gone five unbeaten until recent defeats by Napoli and Udinese — and Lecce's ongoing four-game run without scoring means the Azzurri should edge this one by the odd goal.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 40.26% . A win for Lecce had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.9% .
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.23%) . The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Empoli in this match.
Result Empoli Draw Lecce 40.26% ( -1.66) 26.88% ( 0.16) 32.86% ( 1.51)
Both teams to score 50.83% ( 0.01)
45.73% ( -0.21) 54.27% ( 0.21)
24.34% ( -0.18) 75.66% ( 0.18)
73.55% ( -0.98) 26.45% ( 0.98)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 38.38% ( -1.32) 61.62% ( 1.32)
69.1% ( 0.93) 30.9% ( -0.93)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 32.81% ( 1.07) 67.19% ( -1.07)
Empoli 40.25%
Lecce 32.86%
Draw 26.87%
Empoli Draw Lecce 1-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.25% 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.87% 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.86%
How you voted: Empoli vs Lecce
106
rhs 2.0
LT: 2023-05-30 21:19:50 Result
Andreeva Riske-Amritraj
6 6 2 1
Result
Wang Bouzkova
6 7 7 4 65
Result
Jarry Dellien
6 6 6 4 4 2
Result
Peterson Ferro
6 6 2 0
Result
Paul Stricker
6 6 6 3 2 4
Result
Nishioka Wolf
1 3 6 6 6 6 6 4 3 3
Result
KalininaParry
2 36 6
Result
Purcell Thompson
7 1 6 6 5 6 4 4
Result
Mpetshi PerricardAlberto Olivieri
63 6 6 5 17 7 4 4 7 6
Result
Vavassori Kecmanovic
5 2 7 10 7 7 7 11 7 6 68 63 69
Result
BronzettiJabeur
4 16 6
Result
Danilovic Baindl
6 6 3 2
Result
BublikZeppieri
0 6 6 3 56 4 4 6 7
Result
GastonMolcan
1 64 46 7 7 6
Result
Zverev Harris
7 8 7 7 6 66 60 1
Result
Noskova Kovinic
6 2 3 1
(ret.)
Result
JanicijevicDodin
6 2 1 0 6 6
Result
Tsurenko Krejcikova
6 6 2 4
Result
MasarovaGauff
6 1 2 3 6 6
Result
Seyboth Wild Medvedev
7 7 66 2 6 6 65 7 8 6 3 4
Result
Cerundolo Munar
6 2 7 7 6 1 6 65 1
Result
CirsteaPaolini
5 6 27 2 6
Result
BurelSorribes Tormo
60 27 7 6
Result
Ruusuvuori Barrere
6 67 5 6 6 2 7 9 7 1 4
Result
HalysPella
4 7 9 6 64 64 6 67 2 7 7 7 10
Result
Rune Eubanks
6 3 7 7 6 4 6 62 2
Result
Rybakina Fruhvirtova
6 6 4 2
Result
SkatovDimitrov
0 3 26 6 6
Result
MmohFritz
2 1 16 6 6
Result
GasquetRinderknech
4 6 2 64 6 2 6 7 7
Result
Martic Rogers
3 6 6 6 3 2
Result
AndreevaNavarro
2 6 46 3 6
Result
AzarenkaAndreescu
6 3 4 2 6 6
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