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Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cremonese
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
Juventus logo
Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
Napoli logo
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Salernitana
Sampdoria logo
Sassuolo logo
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Torino logo
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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Apr 3, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Lecce logo
Empoli
1 - 0
Lecce
Caputo (62' pen.)
Bandinelli (19'), Fazzini (71'), Marin (90+6')
Tonelli (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Blin (22'), Tuia (68')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 Empoli
Friday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Lecce
Sunday, March 19 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Empoli 1-0 Lecce

Neither side is in top goalscoring form, but Empoli's decent-to-good record at the Castellani — they had gone five unbeaten until recent defeats by Napoli and Udinese — and Lecce's ongoing four-game run without scoring means the Azzurri should edge this one by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Empoli in this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawLecce
40.26% (-1.664 -1.66) 26.88% (0.155 0.16) 32.86% (1.51 1.51)
Both teams to score 50.83% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.73% (-0.21 -0.21)54.27% (0.211 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.34% (-0.175 -0.18)75.66% (0.176 0.18)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55% (-0.979 -0.98)26.45% (0.981 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.38% (-1.323 -1.32)61.62% (1.323 1.32)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1% (0.92700000000001 0.93)30.9% (-0.926 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.81% (1.073 1.07)67.19% (-1.072 -1.07)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 40.25%
    Lecce 32.86%
    Draw 26.87%
EmpoliDrawLecce
1-0 @ 10.86% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.354 -0.35)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.253 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.25%
1-1 @ 12.76% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.17% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.318 0.32)
1-2 @ 7.5% (0.23 0.23)
0-2 @ 5.64% (0.324 0.32)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.162 0.16)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.179 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.86%

How you voted: Empoli vs Lecce

Empoli
70.8%
Draw
18.9%
Lecce
10.4%
106
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 7.45pm
Lecce
1-1
Empoli
Espeto (40')
Banda (34')
Parisi (23')
Marin (27'), Stojanovic (57')
May 10, 2021 1pm
Empoli
2-1
Lecce
La Mantia (51'), Matos (68')
Haas (39'), Parisi (63'), Olivieri (84')
Rodriguez (24')
Meccariello (10'), Pisacane (42')
Jan 24, 2021 2pm
Lecce
2-2
Empoli
Mancosu (79'), Rodriguez (90')
Nikolov (5'), Tachtsidis (46'), Mancosu (90+3')
Haas (33'), La Mantia (47')
Parisi (41'), Haas (66'), Matos (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli37276475284787
2Lazio37218858302871
3Inter Milan372231270422869
4AC Milan371910861421967
5Atalanta BCAtalanta371871261461561
6Roma371791148371160
7Juventus372161055332259
8Torino371411124240253
9Fiorentina371411125042853
10Monza371410134647-152
11Bologna371312125047351
12Udinese371113134747046
13SassuoloSassuolo37129164658-1245
14Empoli371013143747-1043
15Salernitana37915134860-1242
16Lecce37812173143-1236
17SpeziaSpezia37613183060-3031
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37710203056-2631
19Cremonese37412213469-3524
RSampdoria37310242469-4519

Real Madrid Until The End
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