Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Nice had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Nice |
60% ( 1.27) | 21.84% ( -0.06) | 18.14% ( -1.22) |
Both teams to score 52.19% ( -2.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.51% ( -1.61) | 45.48% ( 1.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.18% ( -1.56) | 67.81% ( 1.55) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.25% ( -0.13) | 14.74% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.03% ( -0.25) | 42.96% ( 0.25) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.21% ( -2.28) | 38.78% ( 2.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.48% ( -2.23) | 75.51% ( 2.23) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.69) 2-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 59.99% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.84% | 0-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.22% Total : 18.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |