Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brisbane Roar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brisbane Roar.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Perth Glory |
46.96% ( -0.01) | 26.43% ( 0.13) | 26.61% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 48.97% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.87% ( -0.55) | 55.13% ( 0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.62% ( -0.45) | 76.38% ( 0.45) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.53% ( -0.24) | 23.47% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.52% ( -0.35) | 57.48% ( 0.35) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.99% ( -0.39) | 36.01% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.21% ( -0.4) | 72.79% ( 0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Perth Glory |
1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.96% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.93% Total : 26.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 49 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 41 |
3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 38 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 38 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 32 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 32 |
7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 29 |
8 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 29 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 28 |
10 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 27 |
11 | Macarthur | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 26 |
12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 25 |
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