Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brisbane Roar in this match.
