Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
