Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Perth Glory |
34.25% | 24.89% | 40.86% |
Both teams to score 57.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.52% | 45.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.18% | 67.81% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.26% | 25.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.33% | 60.66% |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.79% | 22.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.37% | 55.63% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Perth Glory |
2-1 @ 7.92% 1-0 @ 7.76% 2-0 @ 5.27% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 2.7% 3-0 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.25% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.89% | 1-2 @ 8.78% 0-1 @ 8.6% 0-2 @ 6.47% 1-3 @ 4.4% 0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.99% 1-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.37% Total : 40.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 45 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 41 |
3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 35 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 31 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 29 |
7 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 28 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 26 |
10 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 26 |
11 | Macarthur | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 26 |
12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 25 |
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