Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.78%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.