Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.64%) and 3-1 (5.55%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Perth Glory in this match.
