Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.52%) and 3-1 (5.37%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wellington Phoenix in this match.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Adelaide United |
43.79% | 22.03% | 34.17% |
Both teams to score 68.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.44% | 31.56% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.95% | 53.05% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.77% | 15.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.11% | 43.88% |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.72% | 19.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.99% | 51.01% |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 8.56% 1-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 5.37% 2-0 @ 5.2% 3-2 @ 4.42% 3-0 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-2 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-3 @ 1.14% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.23% Total : 43.79% | 1-1 @ 9.09% 2-2 @ 7.05% 0-0 @ 2.94% 3-3 @ 2.43% Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-1 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 4.11% 0-2 @ 3.98% 2-3 @ 3.87% 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 1.59% 3-4 @ 1% Other @ 3.44% Total : 34.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 16 |
2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 14 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 12 |
4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 10 |
6 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 10 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 10 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 9 |
10 | Macarthur | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 4 |
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