Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
