Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perth Glory would win this match.
