Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
49.65% | 23.18% | 27.17% |
Both teams to score 59.88% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.99% | 41.01% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.6% | 63.4% |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.3% | 16.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.42% | 46.58% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.89% | 28.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.21% | 63.79% |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 9.54% 1-0 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 5.69% 3-0 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 3.61% 4-1 @ 2.55% 4-0 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1.62% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.31% Total : 49.65% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 6.05% 0-0 @ 4.69% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.17% | 1-2 @ 6.76% 0-1 @ 5.96% 0-2 @ 3.78% 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 1.6% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 40 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 37 |
3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 27 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 25 |
8 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 24 |
9 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
10 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 23 |
11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 20 |
12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 18 |
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