Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
