Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 56.3%. A win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 22.79% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.56%) and 0-1 (7.21%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.