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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 51.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 23.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Cambridge United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Cambridge United.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
51.16% ( -2.42) | 25.48% ( 0.96) | 23.36% ( 1.46) |
Both teams to score 48.71% ( -1.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.03% ( -2.31) | 53.96% ( 2.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.59% ( -1.97) | 75.41% ( 1.97) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.88% ( -1.89) | 21.12% ( 1.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.04% ( -3.03) | 53.96% ( 3.03) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.75% ( 0.11) | 38.24% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25% ( 0.1) | 75% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 12.55% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.45) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.42) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.29) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.41% Total : 51.15% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.42) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.7) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.7) 1-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.35) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.57% Total : 23.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 31 | 8 | 7 | 82 | 47 | 35 | 101 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 101 | 35 | 66 | 98 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 81 | 37 | 44 | 96 |
4 | Barnsley | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 80 | 47 | 33 | 86 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 62 | 36 | 26 | 81 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 24 | 5 | 17 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 67 | 46 | 21 | 76 |
8 | Portsmouth | 46 | 17 | 19 | 10 | 61 | 50 | 11 | 70 |
9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 69 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 70 | 66 | 4 | 62 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 14 | 20 | 12 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 62 |
12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 17 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 59 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 58 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 56 |
15 | Burton Albion | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 57 | 79 | -22 | 56 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 54 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 73 | -15 | 53 |
18 | Port Vale | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 49 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 |
20 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 46 |
R | MK Dons | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 44 | 66 | -22 | 45 |
R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 14 | 22 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 44 |
R | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 44 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 89 | -58 | 27 |
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