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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Cambridge United
Accrington
1 - 2
Cambridge
Presley (83' pen.)
Coyle (73'), Whalley (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dunk (42'), Thomas (65')
Lankester (28'), Digby (45+3')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 0-1 Accrington
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Cambridge
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Cambridge United

We anticipate a hotly-contested affair on Saturday, given the magnitude of the fight for survival, and although both will feel a victory is necessary, they will also be desperate to avoid a defeat, and we see them sharing the spoils as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawCambridge United
38.03% (0.78 0.78) 25.87% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 36.1% (-0.704 -0.7)
Both teams to score 54.67% (0.23 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.39% (0.309 0.31)49.6% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.37% (0.274 0.27)71.62% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (0.574 0.57)25.51% (-0.575 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.63% (0.779 0.78)60.36% (-0.779 -0.78)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)26.6% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.17% (-0.343 -0.34)61.82% (0.342 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 38.03%
    Cambridge United 36.1%
    Draw 25.86%
Accrington StanleyDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 9.27% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.33% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.105 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 38.03%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.181 -0.18)
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.95% (-0.164 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 36.1%

How you voted: Accrington vs Cambridge

Accrington Stanley
50.0%
Draw
37.5%
Cambridge United
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Cambridge
0-1
Accrington

Williams (65')
Rodgers (45+2')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 34
Cambridge
2-0
Accrington
Smith (66'), Hoolahan (90+5')

Nottingham (90+3')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
gameweek 2
Accrington
2-1
Cambridge
Butcher (14'), Pell (30')
Pell (20'), Pritchard (34'), Rodgers (81')
Ironside (79')
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Accrington
1-0
Cambridge
Jackson (57')
Hughes (39'), Johnson (90')

Ikpeazu (38'), Deegan (65'), O'Neil (76')
Nov 11, 2017 3pm
Cambridge
0-0
Accrington

Ikpeazu (90'), Halliday (90')

Kee (24'), Johnson (61'), Thorniley (69'), Conneely (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPlymouth ArgylePlymouth463187824735101
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds462812681374496
4Barnsley462681280473386
5Bolton WanderersBolton4623121162362681
6Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462451775542177
7Derby CountyDerby4621131267462176
8Portsmouth4617191061501170
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe46209175951869
10Charlton AthleticCharlton461614167066462
11Lincoln CityLincoln461420124747062
12Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46178215261-959
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood461416165351258
14Exeter CityExeter461511206468-456
15Burton Albion461511205779-2256
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham461412204561-1654
17Bristol Rovers461411215873-1553
18Port Vale461310234871-2349
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461114214956-747
20Cambridge UnitedCambridge46137264168-2746
RMK Dons461112234466-2245
22Morecambe461014224778-3144
RAccrington StanleyAccrington461111244077-3744
RForest Green RoversForest Green4669313189-5827

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