League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Forest Green
0 - 3
Oxford Utd
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cheltenham 3-1 Forest Green
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-0 Cheltenham
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One
We said: Forest Green Rovers 0-1 Oxford United
Oxford have finally started to pick up some decent results at the most important stage of the season, and given that this game means far more to them than it does to Forest Green, they are likely to emerge victorious. FGR have had a very poor maiden season in League One, winning just one home game in 2023, and there have been no recent indications they will be able to take anything from Saturday's game. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 49.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.41%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Oxford United |
24.63% ( 0.02) | 25.89% ( 0.01) | 49.48% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.85% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
