The 2023 MLS season is now up and running, and you can watch every game live with the MLS season pass on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portland Timbers | Draw | Austin FC |
56.96% ( -0.02) | 23.12% ( 0.01) | 19.92% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.23% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.68% ( -0.04) | 48.31% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.54% ( -0.04) | 70.46% ( 0.03) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.26% ( -0.02) | 16.73% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.35% ( -0.04) | 46.65% ( 0.04) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.52% ( -0.02) | 38.47% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.78% ( -0.02) | 75.22% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Portland Timbers | Draw | Austin FC |
1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 56.94% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.11% | 0-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.48% Total : 19.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 28 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 24 |
5 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Orlando City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 20 |
8 | DC United | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 18 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 18 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 16 |
12 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 16 |
13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 16 |
14 | Toronto | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 26 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 26 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
4 | Dallas | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 24 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 19 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 17 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 16 |
11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 13 |
13 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 9 |