MLS Rivalry Week is upon us, and you can watch every game live with the MLS season pass on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
62.5% ( 0.38) | 20.02% ( -0.15) | 17.48% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 57.15% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.7% ( 0.34) | 38.3% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.42% ( 0.35) | 60.58% ( -0.35) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.26% ( 0.2) | 11.74% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.12% ( 0.43) | 36.88% ( -0.43) |
Colorado Rapids Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.75% ( -0.04) | 35.25% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28% ( -0.05) | 72% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.13% Total : 62.5% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.02% | 1-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 17.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 24 |
3 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 18 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 17 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 15 |
7 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 15 |
10 | Orlando City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 15 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 15 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 |
14 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 12 |
15 | Toronto | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 23 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 21 |
3 | St Louis City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Dallas | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 19 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 15 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 14 |
9 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 6 |