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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.94%) and 0-2 (5.47%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
37.46% | 23.74% | 38.8% |
Both teams to score 62.45% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.39% | 39.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.05% | 61.96% |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.7% | 21.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.75% | 54.25% |
Colorado Rapids Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.35% | 20.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.78% | 53.23% |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
2-1 @ 8.3% 1-0 @ 6.8% 2-0 @ 5.26% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 3.37% 3-0 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.73% Total : 37.46% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 6.54% 0-0 @ 4.4% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 8.46% 0-1 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 4.45% 2-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.91% Total : 38.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 65 |
2 | Orlando City | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 54 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 52 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 51 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 62 | 43 | 19 | 50 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 47 | 14 | 49 |
7 | Nashville SCNashville | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 45 |
8 | New York City FCNY City | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 38 |
9 | DC United | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 37 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 37 |
12 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 34 |
13 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 33 |
14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 33 |
15 | Toronto | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 32 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 62 | 40 | 22 | 56 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 46 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 45 |
4 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 44 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 43 |
6 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 43 |
7 | Portland TimbersPortland | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 43 |
8 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 41 |
10 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 38 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 38 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 35 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 45 | 54 | -9 | 35 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 26 |