Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 16.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.