Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
