Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Nice had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Nice win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.