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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | FC Koln |
37.18% ( 0) | 26.08% ( 0.02) | 36.75% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.98% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.5% ( -0.09) | 50.5% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.57% ( -0.08) | 72.43% ( 0.08) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.59% ( -0.04) | 26.41% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.43% ( -0.06) | 61.57% ( 0.06) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.35% ( -0.06) | 26.65% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.1% ( -0.08) | 61.89% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | FC Koln |
1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.18% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 36.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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