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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Cambuur
Emmen
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
NEC
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 8, 2023 at 7pm UK
Philips Stadium
Excelsior
PSV
4 - 0
Excelsior
de Jong (12'), Simons (78'), Silva (82'), Gutierrez (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zagre (56'), Horemans (66'), Ayoub (69'), Baas (72')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 0-0 FC Twente
Saturday, April 1 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 SBV Excelsior

PSV are averaging over three goals per game on home turf this term, and we can see them putting on another superb attacking display en route to a routine victory come the sound of the final whistle in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 89.66%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 3.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.25%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (1.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawSBV Excelsior
89.66% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15) 7.14% (0.075 0.08) 3.2% (0.072 0.07)
Both teams to score 46.67% (0.437 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.16% (0.062000000000012 0.06)19.83% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
62.14% (0.088999999999999 0.09)37.85% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.37% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)2.62% (0.008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.81% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)12.18% (0.035 0.04)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.93% (0.452 0.45)52.06% (-0.453 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.95% (0.293 0.29)86.05% (-0.294 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 89.65%
    SBV Excelsior 3.2%
    Draw 7.14%
PSV EindhovenDrawSBV Excelsior
3-0 @ 10.98% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-0 @ 10% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 9.06% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-0 @ 7.28% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 7.17% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 6.53% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 5.91% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 4.98% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 4.75% (0.016 0.02)
6-0 @ 4.42% (-0.049 -0.05)
6-1 @ 2.88% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.043 0.04)
7-0 @ 2.3% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.13% (0.037 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.55% (0.026 0.03)
7-1 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
8-0 @ 1.04% (-0.014 -0.01)
6-2 @ 0.94% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 89.65%
1-1 @ 3.25% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 1.93% (0.038 0.04)
0-0 @ 1.37% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 7.14%
1-2 @ 1.06% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 3.2%

How you voted: PSV vs Excelsior

PSV Eindhoven
81.8%
Draw
18.2%
SBV Excelsior
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 1.30pm
Excelsior
1-6
PSV
Horemans (74')
Veerman (2'), Sangare (29', 45'), Simons (55', 84'), Gakpo (59')
Til (68')
Mar 2, 2019 6.45pm
Dec 7, 2018 7.45pm
PSV
6-0
Excelsior
De Jong (17', 92'), Van der Meer (34' og.), Mattheij (52' og.), Malen (80'), Bergwijn (89')
Sainsbury (60')

Bruins (55'), van der Meer (64'), El Hamdaoui (67')
Feb 7, 2018 5.30pm
PSV
1-0
Excelsior
Lozano (17')
Brenet (69'), Bergwijn (76')

Fortes (42'), Mattheij (69'), Vermeulen (82')
Nov 26, 2017 1.30pm
Excelsior
1-2
PSV
Koolwijk (52')
Mattheij (62'), Fortes (86')
Mattheij (13' og.), Lozano (41')
Isimat-Mirin (82')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CFeyenoord34257281305182
2PSV EindhovenPSV34236589404975
3Ajax34209586384869
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34207768353367
5FC Twente341810666273964
6Sparta RotterdamSparta34178960372359
7FC UtrechtUtrecht34159105550554
8Heerenveen341210124450-646
9RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk34118155064-1441
10Vitesse341010144550-540
11Go Ahead Eagles341010144656-1040
12NECNijmegen34815114245-339
13Fortuna SittardSittard34106183962-2336
14FC VolendamVolendam34106184271-2936
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior3495203271-3932
16EmmenEmmen34610183365-3228
RCambuur3454252669-4319
RGroningen3446243175-4418

Real Madrid Until The End
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