MX23RW : Sunday, August 13 22:22:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 22
Feb 19, 2023 at 7pm UK
 
NEC
Excelsior
0 - 3
Nijmegen

El Yaakoubi (35'), Driouech (87'), Nieuwpoort (87')
El Yaakoubi (47')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mattsson (44'), Elkarouani (73'), Musaba (85')
Sandler (29'), Verdonk (81')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 5-0 Excelsior
Friday, February 10 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 0-0 Cambuur
Saturday, February 11 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 0-1 NEC

Both teams are low on confidence and struggling for form currently, but the visitors have at least managed to show their quality in patches this season, and given that they are hard to beat and that the hosts are particularly leaky at the back, we see NEC having enough to find a decisive goal and come out on top on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for NEC had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawNEC
45.24% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03) 24.53% (0.00099999999999767 0) 30.23% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.4% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)45.25% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.4% (0.007000000000005 0.01)67.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.89% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)20.11% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.64% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)52.36% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85% (0.024000000000001 0.02)28.15% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (0.030000000000001 0.03)63.83% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 45.24%
    NEC 30.23%
    Draw 24.52%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawNEC
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.28% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 45.24%
1-1 @ 11.5%
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.52%
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 7.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 30.23%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Nijmegen

SBV Excelsior
26.7%
Draw
30.0%
NEC
43.3%
30
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 8pm
Apr 9, 2021 7pm
Jan 8, 2021 5.45pm
Nijmegen
3-2
Excelsior
Okita (50'), Elkarouani (79'), Bruijn (86' pen.)
Odenthal (28'), Proper (42'), Okita (72'), Vet (90+5')
Zwarts (14'), Van Rooijen (17')
Wieffer (49'), Matthys (90+4')
Ormonde-Ottewill (76')
Apr 10, 2020 7pm
Dec 6, 2019 7pm
Excelsior
2-1
Nijmegen
Fischer (48'), Zwarts (73')
Ter Haar Romeny (49')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1AZ AlkmaarAZ11005143
2FC Twente11004133
3Ajax11004133
4Heerenveen11003123
5PSV EindhovenPSV11002023
6SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior11004313
7Sparta RotterdamSparta11002113
8Vitesse11002113
9Fortuna SittardSittard10100001
10Feyenoord10100001
11NECNijmegen100134-10
12FC VolendamVolendam100112-10
13PEC Zwolle100112-10
14RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk100113-20
15FC UtrechtUtrecht100102-20
16Heracles100114-30
17Almere CityAlmere City100114-30
18Go Ahead Eagles100115-40

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