Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 79.15%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 7.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.16%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.5%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Zenit St Petersburg in this match.