Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Lyon |
33.19% ( 0.93) | 26.73% ( 0.15) | 40.08% ( -1.08) |
Both teams to score 51.37% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.38% ( -0.37) | 53.61% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.88% ( -0.32) | 75.11% ( 0.31) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.64% ( 0.43) | 30.35% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.46% ( 0.51) | 66.54% ( -0.52) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.75% ( -0.75) | 26.24% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.65% ( -1.01) | 61.35% ( 1.01) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.19% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 59 |
2 | Brest | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 47 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 46 |
4 | Lille | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Nice | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 43 |
6 | Lens | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 42 |
7 | Marseille | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
8 | Rennes | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 39 |
9 | Reims | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Lyon | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 34 |
11 | Toulouse | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 29 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 29 |
13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 27 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 26 |
15 | Lorient | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 26 |
16 | NantesNantes | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
17 | Metz | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 23 |
18 | Clermont | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 20 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |