MX23RW : Thursday, March 21 16:43:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Lens logo

Brest
3 - 2
Lens

Del Castillo (45+2' pen., 87' pen.), Lala (56')
Lees-Melou (35'), Brassier (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sotoca (10'), Machado (22')
Sotoca (48'), Medina (52'), Samba (85')
Thomasson (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 1-2 Rennes
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Man Utd 3-1 Lens
Saturday, August 5 at 12.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Brest 0-1 Lens

Given what Lens achieved last term, we expect the Blood and Gold to claim all three points on the opening weekend, although Brest will likely give last season's runners-up a run for their money after finishing the previous campaign on a high. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawLens
29.19% (0.963 0.96) 26.06% (0.47 0.47) 44.74% (-1.433 -1.43)
Both teams to score 51.79% (-0.85700000000001 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.69% (-1.401 -1.4)52.31% (1.402 1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26% (-1.217 -1.22)74% (1.218 1.22)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.52% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)32.48% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)69% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71% (-1.261 -1.26)23.29% (1.261 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.77% (-1.873 -1.87)57.23% (1.873 1.87)
Score Analysis
    Brest 29.19%
    Lens 44.74%
    Draw 26.06%
BrestDrawLens
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.461 0.46)
2-1 @ 6.97% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 4.78% (0.259 0.26)
3-1 @ 2.61% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.19%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 7.57% (0.412 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 11.02% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-2 @ 8.03% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-3 @ 4.39% (-0.256 -0.26)
0-3 @ 3.9% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 44.74%

How you voted: Brest vs Lens

Brest
8.7%
Draw
8.7%
Lens
82.6%
23
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 22
Brest
1-1
Lens
Gradit (83')
Jan 22, 2023 8pm
Round of 32
Brest
1-3
Lens
Slimani (19')
Said (5'), Medina (30'), Thomasson (37')
Aug 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 1
Lens
3-2
Brest
Sotoca (27', 62', 65')
Costa (38'), Danso (78')
Belkebla (66'), Del Castillo (82' pen.)
Lees-Melou (31'), Belaili (43'), Brassier (62'), Chardonnet (71')
Mar 5, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 27
Lens
0-1
Brest

Medina (67')
Honorat (59')
Belkebla (54')
Nov 21, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 14
Brest
4-0
Lens
Mounie (3'), Chardonnet (13'), Faivre (33'), Le Douaron (69')
Duverne (58')

Medina (36'), Doucoure (76')
Kalimuendo (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG26178162233959
2Brest26138536201647
3MonacoMonaco26137647361146
4Lille261110537231443
5Nice2612772720743
6Lens2612683527842
7Marseille26109740281239
8Rennes2610974031939
9Reims26115103435-138
10Lyon26104123040-1034
11Toulouse2678112936-729
12StrasbourgStrasbourg2678112839-1129
13Le HavreLe Havre2669112633-727
14Montpellier HSCMontpellier2669113140-926
15Lorient2668123549-1426
16NantesNantes2674152441-1725
17Metz2665152339-1623
18Clermont2648141943-2420


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