Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Lens |
29.19% ( 0.96) | 26.06% ( 0.47) | 44.74% ( -1.43) |
Both teams to score 51.79% ( -0.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.69% ( -1.4) | 52.31% ( 1.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26% ( -1.22) | 74% ( 1.22) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.52% ( -0.01) | 32.48% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.99% ( -0.01) | 69% ( 0.01) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.71% ( -1.26) | 23.29% ( 1.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.77% ( -1.87) | 57.23% ( 1.87) |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.19% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.89% Total : 44.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 59 |
2 | Brest | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 47 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 46 |
4 | Lille | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Nice | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 43 |
6 | Lens | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 42 |
7 | Marseille | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
8 | Rennes | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 39 |
9 | Reims | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Lyon | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 34 |
11 | Toulouse | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 29 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 29 |
13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 27 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 26 |
15 | Lorient | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 26 |
16 | NantesNantes | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
17 | Metz | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 23 |
18 | Clermont | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 20 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |