Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 55.51%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Celtic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Celtic.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Celtic |
21.45% ( 0.37) | 23.05% ( 0.02) | 55.51% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 53.75% ( 0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.9% ( 0.39) | 46.1% ( -0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.6% ( 0.37) | 68.4% ( -0.37) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.34% ( 0.58) | 35.66% ( -0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.56% ( 0.6) | 72.44% ( -0.6) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.55% ( 0) | 16.45% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.85% ( 0) | 46.15% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Celtic |
1-0 @ 6.05% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.9% Total : 21.45% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.04% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 5.93% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.75% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.67% 0-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 0.97% 0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 55.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 5 | 14 | 22 |
2 | RangersRangers | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 |
3 | St Mirren | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
4 | Hearts | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Motherwell | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 10 |
6 | Livingston | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 10 |
7 | Hibernian | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
10 | Dundee | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
11 | Ross County | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 7 |
12 | St Johnstone | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 4 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |