Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.11%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Rangers win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rangers | Draw | Celtic |
32.02% ( -0.01) | 22.24% | 45.74% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 66.7% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.54% ( 0) | 33.47% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.74% | 55.26% ( -0) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.71% ( -0) | 21.29% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.78% ( -0) | 54.22% ( 0.01) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.73% ( 0) | 15.27% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.04% ( 0) | 43.96% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Rangers | Draw | Celtic |
2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.03% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.89% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.65% Total : 32.02% | 1-1 @ 9.45% 2-2 @ 6.87% 0-0 @ 3.25% 3-3 @ 2.22% Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 8.88% 0-1 @ 6.11% 0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.56% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.3% 0-3 @ 3.6% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.61% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.02% 0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.04% 1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 45.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |