MX23RW : Wednesday, January 17 02:17:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Groningen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Euroborg
Excelsior
Groningen
3 - 0
Excelsior
Hove (13'), Pepi (50'), van Gelderen (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Groningen and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Groningen 1-1 Emmen
Saturday, February 18 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 0-3 Nijmegen
Sunday, February 19 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Groningen 2-1 SBV Excelsior

With two out-of-sorts teams going head-to-head, we are anticipating a nervy and tense affair here. That said, we are backing Groningen to make home advantage count and narrowly get the job done in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 18.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.

Result
GroningenDrawSBV Excelsior
58.98% (0.038000000000004 0.04) 22.87% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 18.15% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.01% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.26% (0.078000000000003 0.08)49.74% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.25% (0.068999999999999 0.07)71.75% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.46% (0.040999999999997 0.04)16.53% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.71% (0.070999999999998 0.07)46.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.72% (0.032000000000004 0.03)41.28% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.19% (0.027999999999999 0.03)77.8% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Groningen 58.97%
    SBV Excelsior 18.15%
    Draw 22.86%
GroningenDrawSBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 12.28% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 6.63% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.64% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 58.97%
1-1 @ 10.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.82% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 22.86%
0-1 @ 6.04% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.81% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 18.15%

How you voted: Groningen vs Excelsior

Groningen
78.6%
Draw
14.3%
SBV Excelsior
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 3.45pm
Excelsior
1-0
Groningen
El Yaakoubi (69')
Azarkan (37'), Driouech (59')

van Gelderen (40'), Suslov (61'), Dybvik Maatta (81')
Dec 15, 2021 7pm
Second Round
Excelsior
2-4
Groningen
Niemeijer (23'), Baas (69')
Dallinga (105')
Ngonge (45+1'), El Hankouri (85' pen.), Strand Larsen (111', 115')
Duarte (64')
Apr 6, 2019 6.45pm
Nov 2, 2018 7pm
Excelsior
2-4
Groningen
Koolwijk (36'), Bruins (59' pen.)
Hadouir (42')
Mahi (26'), Doan (29'), Cassierra (51'), Pohl (75')
Apr 29, 2018 1.30pm
Groningen
4-0
Excelsior
Van Weert (42', 73'), Memisevic (45'), Doan (71')

Koolwijk (35'), Mattheij (45')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1717005975251
2Feyenoord17123250163439
3FC Twente17114236201637
4AZ AlkmaarAZ17103436162033
5Ajax178453832628
6Sparta RotterdamSparta177462422225
7Go Ahead Eagles176562826223
8NECNijmegen175753330322
9Heerenveen176292632-620
10PEC Zwolle175482530-519
11Fortuna SittardSittard175481730-1319
12Almere CityAlmere City175481934-1519
13FC UtrechtUtrecht174671726-918
14Heracles175392240-1818
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior173862835-717
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1742111630-1414
17Vitesse1733111237-2512
18FC VolendamVolendam1732121841-2311

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