Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.