Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.02%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Al-Hilal had a probability of 15.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for an Al-Hilal win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.