Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 13.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.07%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Real Madrid |
13.16% ( -0.1) | 20.79% ( 0.09) | 66.05% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 44.22% ( -0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.81% ( -0.57) | 50.19% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.85% ( -0.5) | 72.15% ( 0.5) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.64% ( -0.5) | 48.36% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.51% ( -0.37) | 83.49% ( 0.37) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.63% ( -0.18) | 14.37% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.74% ( -0.35) | 42.26% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Real Madrid |
1-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 13.16% | 1-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.59% Total : 20.79% | 0-1 @ 13.48% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 13.07% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 8.46% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.14% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.98% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.25% Total : 66.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |