Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.