La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Iberostar Stadium
Mallorca
2 - 1
Cadiz
We said: Mallorca 1-1 Cadiz
Four of the last five league meetings between these two sides have finished level, including a 1-1 draw in the reverse game earlier this season, and we are again finding it difficult to separate them here, ultimately settling on a low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 44.74%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 26.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Cadiz |
| 44.74% | 29.17% | 26.08% |
| Both teams to score 41.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
