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League One | 1st Leg
May 13, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Barnsley
Bolton
1 - 1
Barnsley
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 0-2 Peterborough
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Barnsley

Barnsley will not head into the playoffs with as much momentum as they would have liked, having seen their fortunes worsen since sealing fourth place, while Bolton will know the importance of going to Oakwell next week with a lead from their home tie, and we back the Trotters to prevail on Saturday as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
37.57% (0.457 0.46) 26.22% (-0.168 -0.17) 36.21% (-0.291 -0.29)
Both teams to score 53.49% (0.555 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.88% (0.707 0.71)51.12% (-0.708 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.03% (0.618 0.62)72.97% (-0.619 -0.62)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52% (0.59399999999999 0.59)26.47% (-0.595 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34% (0.783 0.78)61.66% (-0.785 -0.78)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (0.167 0.17)27.25% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32% (0.216 0.22)62.68% (-0.216 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 37.57%
    Barnsley 36.21%
    Draw 26.21%
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 9.59% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.67% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.82% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.57%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.22% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 9.38% (-0.224 -0.22)
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.1% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.045 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 36.21%

How you voted: Bolton vs Barnsley

Bolton Wanderers
68.2%
Draw
18.2%
Barnsley
13.6%
22
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
gameweek 25
Barnsley
0-3
Bolton

Andersen (11')
Charles (12' pen.), Dadi Bodvarsson (41'), Dempsey (76')
Nov 5, 2022 2pm
First Round
Bolton
1-2
Barnsley
Santos (6' og.), Phillips (33')
Kane (37')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
gameweek 15
Bolton
0-0
Barnsley

Norwood (24')
Aug 10, 2021 8pm
First Round
Bolton
0-0
Barnsley
Bolton win 5-4 on penalties

Jones (68')

Benson (13'), Moon (46'), Kane (82')
Apr 14, 2018 3pm
Barnsley
2-2
Bolton
Gardner (22'), McBurnie (90')
Moore (45'), Gardner (57'), Moncur (79'), McBurnie (81'), Lindsay (90')
Le Fondre (82' pen.), Noone (85')
Henry (13'), Ameobi (55'), Beevers (59'), Pratley (81')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPlymouth ArgylePlymouth463187824735101
4Barnsley462681280473386
5Bolton WanderersBolton4623121162362681
6Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462451775542177
7Derby CountyDerby4621131267462176
8Portsmouth4617191061501170
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe46209175951869
10Charlton AthleticCharlton461614167066462
11Lincoln CityLincoln461420124747062
12Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46178215261-959
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood461416165351258
14Exeter CityExeter461511206468-456
15Burton Albion461511205779-2256
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham461412204561-1654
17Bristol Rovers461411215873-1553
18Port Vale461310234871-2349
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461114214956-747
20Cambridge UnitedCambridge46137264168-2746
RMK Dons461112234466-2245
22Morecambe461014224778-3144
RAccrington StanleyAccrington461111244077-3744
RForest Green RoversForest Green4669313189-5827

Real Madrid Until The End
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