MX23RW : Friday, May 19 18:24:28| >> :600:262141:262141:
Bolton logo
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 2pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Barnsley
Bolton
1 - 2
Barnsley
FT(HT: 0-2)
Santos (6' og.), Phillips (33')
Kane (37'), Kitching (50'), Phillips (76'), Walton (87'), Andersen (90')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Bolton Wanderers and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 1-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Forest Green
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Barnsley

There is not an awful lot between these two sides in terms of quality, and we are expecting a close match on Saturday afternoon. Barnsley certainly have the quality to triumph, but we just a have a feeling that Bolton will progress to the second round of the competition courtesy of a narrow success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 51.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 24.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
51.29% (-0.186 -0.19) 24.37% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 24.34% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 53.13% (-0.105 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.33% (-0.198 -0.2)48.66% (0.196 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22% (-0.179 -0.18)70.78% (0.178 0.18)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.02% (-0.151 -0.15)18.97% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.49% (-0.248 -0.25)50.5% (0.247 0.25)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)34.43% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.85% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)71.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 51.28%
    Barnsley 24.34%
    Draw 24.36%
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 10.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 51.28%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.36%
0-1 @ 6.96% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.17% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.71% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 24.34%

How you voted: Bolton vs Barnsley

Bolton Wanderers
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Barnsley
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Aug 10, 2021 8pm
Bolton
0-0
Barnsley
Bolton win 5-4 on penalties

Jones (68')

Benson (13'), Moon (46'), Kane (82')
Apr 14, 2018 3pm
Barnsley
2-2
Bolton
Gardner (22'), McBurnie (90')
Moore (45'), Gardner (57'), Moncur (79'), McBurnie (81'), Lindsay (90')
Le Fondre (82' pen.), Noone (85')
Henry (13'), Ameobi (55'), Beevers (59'), Pratley (81')
Dec 2, 2017 3pm
Bolton
3-1
Barnsley
Madine (20', 39' pen.), Little (70')
Ameobi (37'), Henry (56'), Vela (60'), Pratley (89')
Bradshaw (22' pen.)
Bradshaw (28'), Potts (56'), Williams (60'), Thiam (89'), Yiadom (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City35274492316185
2Arsenal36256583424181
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361912567323569
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd35206951411066
5Liverpool36198970422865
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351771167491858
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs36176136559657
8Aston Villa36176134844457
9Brentford36131495445953
10Fulham36156155249351
11Chelsea351110143641-543
12Crystal Palace361110153746-943
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36117183052-2240
14Bournemouth36116193769-3239
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham36107193852-1437
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest36810183667-3134
17Everton36711183256-2432
18Leeds UnitedLeeds36710194671-2531
19Leicester CityLeicester3686224967-1830
RSouthampton3666243166-3524

Ted Lasso creative

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!